Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. He's never carried the ball more than 132 times in a season. Adrian . Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. Jacobs could easily wind up as a player who does a lot of work between the 20s with no meaningful fantasy production. Think about that for a moment. Had more rushing touchdowns last year than Williams. Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. Ronaldinho is also one of the finest players of all time and the global icon dazzled with his Brazilian flair for across Europe, most notably for Barcelona and AC Milan. However, his footwork and explosiveness in tight spaces allowed him to slip would-be tacklers with consistency. Curtis Martin 11. most overrated running backs of all time. Dave Kluge: The 49ers drafted Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell and signed free agent Wayne Gallman. This year, his new head coach -- Josh McDaniels -- is an offensive mind who made his career in schemes that utilized multiple backs as specialists for each situation. Again, these are not the stats of an elite RB. Wait until next year. Adding another trip around the sun and competition from two young, capable running backs is the recipe for the bottom to fall out for Gordon. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. My, my, how the game has changed. Derrick Henry, Tennessee | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB4. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. It appears as if theres a change of guard happening in San Fransisco. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. The Raiders are sure to recoup as much production as they can on the $8.5 million guarantee they gave Drake on a two-year deal, so this will look closer to a committee than a true lead-back situation. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. There is also the slight concern that he will need some ramp-up time to fully be healed from his ACL tear from a season ago. History has shown us that Harris's ADP will likely move into Round 2 or 3 as the next few months pass. Single 3 back on the depth chart before the first preseason game. "The Philadelphia Story," on the other hand, was a comedy, a genre not often seen as Best Picture worthy. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. Chad Parsons: It's a crowded Jets depth chart, and assuming Carter rises to the top of a collection of similar profiles is overstated with his draft valuation. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup 5. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. 54 touchdowns. Jim Brown 2. There are no guarantees he fits with what Atlanta wants to do or whether he has the endurance to handle a workload after last year's use. There are plenty of clarified RB1 types later in the draft to avoid taking the variable shot on Williams. James Brimacombe: Once Kenyan Drake was out of the picture, we shot Edmonds up the draft board naturally. He yields passing work to J.D. Simpson 13. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. He's more powerful and understands how to work between the tackles. This is exactly what the Steelers tried to do by selecting Najee Harris in the first round in the NFL Draft. Ricky Watters 20. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. A veteran, a trade, or another team's roster cut is more likely to be the bigger threat. NFL career: 1988-91, all with Cincinnati Bengals (4 seasons) Statistics/16 games: 659.5 rush yards/4.6 yards per . There isnt much to like here. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. Got the exact same number of carries as Williams. However, I would ask - where is the upside to tilt a league here? When we go into advanced stats, we can tell even more about Bettis: * Note: The stats are Bettis averages per season, not total career. Add in the fact that offense is unlikely to provide as many goal-line chances as the other high-end RB1s, and Kamara has plenty of factors going against him. His current draft price is almost his upside. Andrew Davenport: I've had ample opportunities to draft Gaskin and just haven't been able to do it. Then we have the Taysom Hill conundrum. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. But regardless of quarterback, Kamara is unlikely to return to his 80 reception ways. The additions of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Curtis Samuel, Dyami Brown, and a healthy Antonio Gibson should blunt his numbers and make his season look more like 2020's first half when he averaged 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions per game instead of his second half when he saw 8.6 targets and 6.1 catches an outing. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. Gibson was even in the game after Robinson was out. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Johnson himself has acknowledged it, and the backs' usage in the first preseason game indicates frustration for anyone wanting to farm this barren land. . In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. Links to similar discussions on other positions: 12 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends28 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 10 Quarterbacks12 Tight Ends23 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 9 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends15 Wide Receivers13 Running Backs. Raheem Mostert, San Francisco | Consensus Rankings RB31 | Consensus Projections RB35. Tevin Coleman was specifically brought in because he knows the run-blocking schemes the Jets will employ this year, and Ty Johnson hasn't gone anywhere either. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB14 | Consensus Projections RB10. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. Jordan McNamara: Fixing your running game by drafting running backs is a losing strategy. I'm out. McKissic this offseason and added Alabama running back Brian Robinson Jr Jr. in the 3rd round of the NFL draft. At others, he made mistakes and was underused. Even the best backs need help, and Harris is less likely to have consistent holes to run through than any of the backs going around him. I definitely do not want the most expensive option here (Carter), but Coleman and Johnson are arbitrage plays. Cohen is not even a projected injury-away auto-start fantasy option heading into training camp. Barkley is a workhorse. But even if he doesnt, this backfield could be a closer split than many think. Additionally, Brandon Bolden -- a member of Josh McDaniels' Patriot teams -- is with the club. Most overrated players in Madden 21 J.J. Watt, defensive end, Houston Texans. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs No Name August 6, 2011 Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. We've seen running backs repeatedly return from severe knee injuries; very seldom do they return the following year and have a memorable fantasy season. The Giants offensive line, playcalling, and quarterback play give us no faith that they can help create fantasy overachievers. Jeff Haseley: We know what Saquon Barkley is capable of, but we haven't seen him perform much in Jason Garrett's offense under Joe Judge's rule. Unfortunately, he needs to stay hyper-efficient on the ground to stay fantasy relevant, as Ravens running backs have gotten a 70/30 carry split with Jackson over the last three years. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. His ADP has not shot up the draft boards as quickly as he propelled into fantasy relevance last year due to the almost non-existent target share he received in the passing game. Jordan McNamara: The news on Saquon Barkley does not reassure me. But Gordon averaged more yards per carry last year than Williams. When you select Dobbins in your drafts, you are banking on the hyper-efficiency of his limited touches to continue. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. In 2019, the Lions tried to steal him away with a restricted free agent offer. History and time have helped make Perry one of the most overrated defensive players of all time. Gibson is more likely to lose his job than return a significant profit on his draft price. And was brought back by a new staff that keeps saying he will be a significant part of the offense. It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time. Kansas City had 40 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing scores. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. In addition, Antonio Gibson finished the year banged up and ceding snaps to McKissic. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. But drafting him as a high-upside No. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders as an every-down back. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. 3) Micah Richards. There are some people who will say he was the most overrated running back in history because he was 1-5 in the playoffs, and he never won a Super . Green Bay seems to like A.J. It looked like Williams would consolidate the lead role in the offseason. Sep 20, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Carolina . The Brazilian won the Ballon d'Or in 2005 and has been inducted into the Milan hall of fame for his impact between 2008 and 2011 before heading back to his homeland. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. USA Today named the most overrated player on every NFL team in 2022 and for the Cleveland Browns, Jadeveon Clowney was given this unwanted distinction. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. But the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon III, which cannot be interpreted as anything short of a re-commitment to a 50/50 committee. Jason Wood: Williams has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy back for years. Nyheim Hines is one of the premier pass-catching options, and Marlon Mack's health is a wildcard in the Colts' backfield rotation. Lets take a look at the average Jerome Bettis season: 277 carries, 1051 yards, 3.9 YPC, 7 TDs. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History By Paul Ladewski on August 3, 2021 Chris O'Meara / AP Photo Before franchise quarterbacks took pro football hostage, there was something known as franchise running backs. Brady is known for being the only quarterback in history to win 7 Super Bowls, and is often considered one of the best quarterbacks of all time. If Gordon's injury is extended, Williams could be appropriately priced, but until there is more information, he is an avoid at cost. The team didn't improve a problem defensive line. While he can certainly put up some strong fantasy weeks, the savvier move would be to wait for the younger backs later in the draft. Jordan McNamara: Like Gaskin, David Johnson is in a cloudy situation after Philip Lindsay drew the starting role in Houston in week 1. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. That enthusiasm should be tempered because Canada was the offensive coordinator fired by LSU before LSU hired Joe Brady, who oversaw Joe Burrow's historic season. Chris "Beanie" Wells. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. He finally received the workhorse role fantasy players have craved. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13. His career YPC was 3.9. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. Victoria Geary: Dobbins is an elite talent on the best rushing offense in the NFL. There's zero appeal here. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. The problem is it never really felt like we stopped moving Edmonds up the board even after the signing of James Conner. He was used more as a receiver than anything. They will be pass-dominant inside the five-yard line, which doesn't help Edwards-Helaire's fantasy stock. Jason Wood: Preseason depth charts aren't perfectly predictive, but the new Texans coaching staff clearly sent a message listing Johnson as the No. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season. But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. Projecting a fourth-round pick to take over the backfield would be fine if there was evidence that this was happening. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY =. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered I understand the upside, but I don't want to take a huge miss if I'm drafting in Week 1. First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. Single J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB16 | Consensus Projections RB17. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. Taylor can be a rock-solid option and still be pecked away with Hines and Mack enough to be more in the RB10-15 range. However, the floor is lower than the surrounding running backs in cost. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns.
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